Closest presidential results by state

The state-level presidential results decided by the narrowest margins, from 1976 to 2024 — the races inside the race.

Florida in 2000 is the closest a state has come to a tie in a presidential election: 537 votes separated the top two, 0.01 points, George W. Bush over Al Gore. New Mexico in 2000 (366 votes) and Missouri in 2008 (3,903 votes) are next. A presidential election is really fifty-one separate contests, and these are the ones that came down to a rounding error.

What is the closest presidential result in a single state?

Florida in 2000: 537 votes between the top two candidates, 0.01 points, George W. Bush over Al Gore. New Mexico in 2000 (366 votes) and Missouri in 2008 (3,903 votes) follow. Each row is one state in one election year, so a state can appear more than once.

Why does the margin matter more in some states than others?

Because electoral votes are awarded by state. A 537-vote margin decided Florida in 2000 and with it the presidency, while a margin ten thousand times larger in a safe state changed nothing. That is why the closest state results, not the closest national ones, are where presidential elections are actually settled.

What years does this cover?

1976 through 2024, the span of the state-by-state presidential returns PolitiFinder holds. The national popular-vote records, which run to 1824, are on the closest presidential elections page.

Closest presidential results by state
#StateElectionResultVote gapMargin
1Florida2000George W. Bush over Al Gore5370.01 pts
2New Mexico2000Al Gore over George W. Bush3660.06 pts
3Missouri2008John McCain over Barack Obama3,9030.14 pts
4Massachusetts1980Ronald Reagan over Jimmy Carter3,8290.15 pts
5Oregon1976Gerald Ford over Jimmy Carter1,7130.16 pts
6Minnesota1984Walter Mondale over Ronald Reagan3,7610.18 pts
7Wisconsin2000Al Gore over George W. Bush5,7080.22 pts
8Ohio1976Jimmy Carter over Gerald Ford9,3330.23 pts
9Michigan2016Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton10,7040.23 pts
10Georgia2020Joe Biden over Donald Trump11,7790.23 pts
11Tennessee1980Ronald Reagan over Jimmy Carter4,7100.29 pts
12Iowa2000Al Gore over George W. Bush4,1440.30 pts
13Arizona2020Joe Biden over Donald Trump10,4570.30 pts
14North Carolina2008Barack Obama over John McCain14,1770.33 pts
15New Hampshire2016Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump2,7360.37 pts
16Wisconsin2004John Kerry over George W. Bush11,3840.38 pts
17Oregon2000Al Gore over George W. Bush6,7650.44 pts
18Georgia1992Bill Clinton over George H. W. Bush13,7140.59 pts
19Arkansas1980Ronald Reagan over Jimmy Carter5,1230.61 pts
20Wisconsin2020Joe Biden over Donald Trump20,6820.63 pts
21Iowa2004George W. Bush over John Kerry10,0590.67 pts
22Pennsylvania2016Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton44,2920.73 pts
23Wisconsin2016Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton22,7480.77 pts
24North Carolina1992George H. W. Bush over Bill Clinton20,6190.79 pts
25New Mexico2004George W. Bush over John Kerry5,9880.79 pts

How this ranking is measured

Every state result in every presidential election from 1976 to 2024, ranked by the gap between the top two candidates in that state. The District of Columbia is included, so 51 results per election. Ranked on the percentage-point margin, with the raw vote gap breaking ties: vote shares are stored to two decimal places, so several results sit at 0.01 points and only the vote count separates them. State-level returns come from the dedicated presidential state-results table and are never mixed into any candidate’s career vote total.

Compiled by PolitiFinder · published June 14, 2026 · sources: Data & sources · data last verified September 9, 2026.