Arkansas presidential election results
Recent lean
Republicansince 2000
Bellwether record
10 of 1377% backed the eventual winner
Party flips
3last flipped in 2000
Won by
R 10 · D 3since 1976
In the 13 presidential elections since 1976, Arkansas has gone Republican 10 times and Democratic 3 times. It last flipped in 2000 and has voted Republican in every election since 2000. Arkansas sided with the candidate who won the White House 10 of 13 times (77%).
| Year | Won the state | Runner-up | Margin | Picked the winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Donald Trump R 64.2% | Kamala Harris D 33.6% | +30.6 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 2020 | Donald Trump R 62.4% | Joe Biden D 34.8% | +27.6 pts | No |
| 2016 | Donald Trump R 60.6% | Hillary Clinton D 33.6% | +26.9 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 2012 | Mitt Romney R 60.6% | Barack Obama D 36.9% | +23.7 pts | No |
| 2008 | John McCain R 58.7% | Barack Obama D 38.9% | +19.9 pts | No |
| 2004 | George W. Bush R 54.3% | John Kerry D 44.5% | +9.8 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 2000 | George W. Bush R 51.3% | Al Gore D 45.9% | +5.5 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton D 53.7% | Bob Dole R 36.8% | +16.9 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton D 53.2% | George H. W. Bush R 35.5% | +17.7 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 1988 | George H. W. Bush R 56.4% | Michael Dukakis D 42.2% | +14.2 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 1984 | Ronald Reagan R 60.5% | Walter Mondale D 38.3% | +22.2 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 1980 | Ronald Reagan R 48.1% | Jimmy Carter D 47.5% | +0.6 pts | ✓ Yes |
| 1976 | Jimmy Carter D 65.0% | Gerald Ford R 34.9% | +30.1 pts | ✓ Yes |
How this page is measured
“Recent lean” is the party Arkansas has carried in every presidential election back to 2000. “Bellwether record” counts how often the state's winner went on to win the presidency. “Party flips” counts how many times the winning party changed from one election to the next, 1976–2024. State-level popular vote shown; the national popular and electoral totals for each race are on its election page.